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Answer :
The probability that the elevator is overloaded because 10 adult male passengers have a mean weight greater than 157 lb is 0.2257. This indicates that there is a good chance that the elevator will exceed its capacity. Therefore, the elevator does not appear to be safe.
To determine the probability of the elevator being overloaded, we need to consider the distribution of the mean weight of 10 adult male passengers. Since we are given that the weights of males are normally distributed with a mean of 162 lb and a standard deviation of 27 lb, we can use these parameters to calculate the probability.
The mean weight of 10 adult male passengers can be calculated by dividing the maximum capacity of the elevator (1570 lb) by the number of passengers (10), which gives us a mean weight of 157 lb.
Next, we need to calculate the standard deviation of the mean weight. Since we are dealing with a sample of 10 passengers, the standard deviation of the sample mean can be calculated by dividing the standard deviation of the population (27 lb) by the square root of the sample size (√10). This gives us a standard deviation of approximately 8.544 lb.
Now, we can use the normal distribution to find the probability that the mean weight of 10 adult male passengers is greater than 157 lb. We need to calculate the z-score, which represents the number of standard deviations away from the mean. The z-score is calculated by subtracting the mean weight (157 lb) from the population mean (162 lb) and dividing it by the standard deviation of the sample mean (8.544 lb).
z = (162 - 157) / 8.544 ≈ 0.5867
Using a standard normal distribution table or a calculator, we can find the probability associated with a z-score of 0.5867, which is approximately 0.2257.
This means that there is a 22.57% probability that the mean weight of 10 randomly selected adult male passengers will exceed the weight limit of the elevator. Therefore, the elevator does not appear to be safe, as there is a significant chance of it being overloaded under these conditions.
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