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Considering Moore's Law, which roughly states that the cost to produce technology (specifically expressed as transistors or the switches inside a computer's CPU) will be cut in half every 18 months. This means that if a transistor costs ten dollars today, then in approximately two years it will only cost five dollars. This law has been proven true over the past fifty years. The result has brought us exponential growth in all things related to data processing. Basically, when a component gets cheaper, more people can afford it, which drives the cost down even more. As time goes on, the speed at which this growth increases can be predicted using an algorithm.

We have basically used up all the IP addresses that were set up in the original IPV4. That number is listed above as 4,294,967,296. We can roughly calculate that to have occurred over a thirty-year period. Using those inputs, and expecting the increase in growth to continue at its ever-increasing rate, how long will it take to use up all the addresses in IPV6? Is this even possible?

Answer :

Moore's Law predicts that the cost to produce technology, such as transistors in a computer's CPU, will be halved every 18 months. This exponential growth in processing power has led to an increased demand for IP addresses. In the original IPV4, there are 4,294,967,296 addresses, which were mostly exhausted over a 30-year period.

To estimate how long it will take to exhaust all the addresses in IPV6, we need to consider the rate of growth. If we assume the same exponential growth as predicted by Moore's Law, we can use the algorithm to make an estimate. However, it is important to note that this estimate is based on assumptions and the actual rate of growth may vary.

Let's say it took 30 years to exhaust the addresses in IPV4, which is approximately 360 months. If we apply Moore's Law to IPV6, where the growth rate is cut in half every 18 months, we can estimate that it would take approximately 720 months (2 times the previous estimate) to exhaust all the addresses in IPV6.

However, it's worth mentioning that IPV6 provides a significantly larger number of addresses, approximately 3.4 x 10^38, compared to IPV4. This immense address space is unlikely to be exhausted in the foreseeable future.

In summary, while it is difficult to predict the exact time it will take to exhaust all the addresses in IPV6, the exponential growth predicted by Moore's Law suggests that it would take a significantly longer time than it took to exhaust IPV4.

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