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The table provides amounts of United States federal education spending, in billions of dollars, for selected years. A linear regression is used to construct a function model [tex]S[/tex] that models the spending, in billions of dollars, over the given years. If [tex]t=1[/tex] corresponds to 2011, [tex]t=2[/tex] corresponds to 2012, and this pattern continues, which of the following defines function [tex]S[/tex]?

[tex]
\[
\begin{array}{|c|c|}
\hline
\text{Year} & \begin{array}{l}
\text{US Federal} \\
\text{Education Spending} \\
\text{(billions of dollars)}
\end{array} \\
\hline
2011 & \$112.8 \\
\hline
2012 & \$109.3 \\
\hline
2013 & \$105.1 \\
\hline
2014 & \$104.5 \\
\hline
2015 & \$99.0 \\
\hline
2016 & \$99.3 \\
\hline
2017 & \$97.7 \\
\hline
\end{array}
\]
[/tex]

Answer :

To solve the problem of finding a function model [tex]\( S \)[/tex] that describes U.S. federal education spending over the years 2011 to 2017, we will use a linear regression method. This approach helps us to find a linear relationship (straight line) that best fits the spending data over these years.

Here's the step-by-step process:

1. Identify the Variables:
- The variable [tex]\( t \)[/tex] represents the years, with [tex]\( t = 1 \)[/tex] for 2011, [tex]\( t = 2 \)[/tex] for 2012, continuing up to [tex]\( t = 7 \)[/tex] for 2017.
- The spending amounts in billions of dollars are given for each year: 112.8, 109.3, 105.1, 104.5, 99.0, 99.3, and 97.7.

2. Set Up Linear Regression:
- Linear regression is used to find the line of best fit. This line can be represented by the equation [tex]\( S(t) = mt + b \)[/tex], where [tex]\( m \)[/tex] is the slope and [tex]\( b \)[/tex] is the y-intercept.

3. Determine the Slope and Intercept:
- The slope ([tex]\( m \)[/tex]) represents the rate of change in spending per year.
- The intercept ([tex]\( b \)[/tex]) represents the expected spending when [tex]\( t = 0 \)[/tex].
- Through mathematical calculations, we find that the slope [tex]\( m \)[/tex] is approximately -2.55. This indicates that the spending decreases by about 2.55 billion dollars each year.
- The intercept [tex]\( b \)[/tex] is approximately 114.16. This would theoretically be the spending in billions at [tex]\( t = 0 \)[/tex], but since there is no year 0, it serves as a starting point for our model.

4. Write the Function:
- With the slope and intercept known, we can now write the function [tex]\( S(t) \)[/tex] as:
[tex]\[
S(t) = -2.55t + 114.16
\][/tex]

This function [tex]\( S(t) \)[/tex] provides an estimate of U.S. federal education spending for each year from 2011 to 2017, based on the trend described by the available data.

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